Tariffs, Greenland, Interest Rates… Oh My!

Real Estate

As we step into 2026 and officially put 2025 behind us—a year that felt challenging for many families, businesses, and honestly, emotions—I keep hearing the same question: “What on earth is coming next?” Between conversations about tariffs, interest rates, and even Greenland somehow making headlines, it’s easy to feel like the future is unpredictable. While no one has a crystal ball, here’s what we do know based on what we’ve seen in the real estate market over the past year—and what we expect heading into 2026.

Across the broader Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex, more listings are coming to market, bringing conditions closer to pre-COVID norms. The pandemic-era housing boom reshaped what many came to view as “normal,” with rapid price appreciation, bidding wars, and waived contingencies becoming the expectation—but that pace was never sustainable long term. After years of an intense seller’s market, North Texas real estate is finally finding its balance. Median sales prices across the Metroplex are down approximately 5.3% year over year, with Denton County down about -9.6% and Tarrant County down roughly -2.7%. While those numbers may sound dramatic at first glance, this shift represents a return to normal—not a downturn. Think of it like a pendulum that swung too far for too long and is now settling into a healthier rhythm.

Most areas still aren’t true buyer’s markets, but we’re closer than we’ve been in years, and that’s creating something we haven’t seen in a while: opportunity. If mortgage rates continue to ease and dip below 6%, buyer confidence should gradually return. The trend we’re most excited about at Jlux Homes & Co., is improving affordability—because that’s what brings real people back into the market. Balanced markets are calmer, smarter, and better for long-term decision-making, and as affordability improves, we expect more buyers who’ve been waiting on the sidelines to re-enter the market—making 2026 a year of renewed movement and opportunity.